Research you might act on deserves a method you can inspect. This page explains exactly how Magnisto turns primary filings, earnings-call transcripts and market data into a single risk-adjusted verdict — what the data sources are, how often they refresh, how the score is weighted, how missing data is handled, and how every published call is graded against reality without hindsight.
What you'll find
Data sources: Reported figures come from primary filings — SEC EDGAR (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F) and the company's own press releases and earnings-call transcripts — plus a market-data feed for quotes, options and analyst estimates.
Update frequency: Quotes refresh on a ~15-minute cache; earnings actuals and the next-earnings date on a ~3-hour cache so a fresh release is reflected quickly; fundamentals and 13F ownership update on each new filing (quarterly).
How the verdict is built: The headline Beat / Miss / In-line / Mixed verdict compares reported revenue and EPS against the consensus estimate, graded at a single ±2% dead-band (a surprise inside ±2% is "in line").
Weighting & confidence: Each factor contributes to the composite by a fixed, versioned weight — never tuned per company.
Missing & unverifiable data: When a value cannot be validated, Magnisto does not guess — the section shows a coverage warning or "data temporarily unavailable" while the rest of the report stands.
Backtesting & benchmark: Every verdict and forecast is snapshotted at publish time — score, rating, direction and the share price at that moment — and later graded automatically against the realized stock return 21, 63 and 126 trading days later.
Protection from look-ahead bias: Grading uses only information available at the prediction date: the snapshot is written when the call is issued and never edited, and a prediction is counted only after its horizon has fully passed (recent calls show as "pending").
Research, not investment advice: Magnisto is a research tool.
Frequently asked questions
Where does Magnisto get its data?
Reported figures come from primary filings — SEC EDGAR (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F) and the company's own press releases and earnings-call transcripts — plus a market-data feed for quotes, options and analyst estimates. Every section on a report carries a source badge (Live / AI / Simulated) and, where persisted, a deep link to the exact filing behind it.
How often is the data updated?
Quotes refresh on a ~15-minute cache; earnings actuals and the next-earnings date on a ~3-hour cache so a fresh release is reflected quickly; fundamentals and 13F ownership update on each new filing (quarterly). Every report shows a "Data as of" timestamp for when it was assembled from these sources — cached sub-values can be slightly older than that assembly time.
How is the Beat / Miss verdict decided?
The headline Beat / Miss / In-line / Mixed verdict compares reported revenue and EPS against the consensus estimate, graded at a single ±2% dead-band (a surprise inside ±2% is "in line"). The composite score blends valuation, earnings quality, growth, momentum and management-narrative risk into one number, then applies a red-flag penalty from the forensic checks. The same versioned math runs on every ticker — ask twice, get the same answer.
Does Magnisto hide its bad calls or use hindsight?
Grading uses only information available at the prediction date: the snapshot is written when the call is issued and never edited, and a prediction is counted only after its horizon has fully passed (recent calls show as "pending"). Grading runs for every ticker ever predicted, so a wrong call cannot be quietly dropped from the record. Every verdict and forecast is snapshotted at publish time — score, rating, direction and the share price at that moment — and later graded automatically against the realized stock return 21, 63 and 126 trading days later. "Edge" subtracts the base rate (the share of all graded windows that were positive anyway) so a number above zero means the calls beat a period-weighted coin flip. Calibration is measured with a Brier score. The full, self-grading record is public on the Track Record page.
Is Magnisto investment advice?
Magnisto is a research tool. It gives you the institutional-grade evidence — the verdict, valuation, risks, technicals and 13F flows — so you can form your own view. It does not give personalized buy or sell recommendations. Always verify against the primary filings before you act.