United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Earnings Analysis

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) delivered mixed results in Q2 FY2026 on revenue of $17.7B versus the $17.6B estimate (+16.0% YoY) and EPS of $1.99. The next United Airlines Holdings (UAL) earnings date is Oct 21, 2026. Below is the full United Airlines Holdings earnings breakdown — the risk-adjusted verdict, price forecast, technicals, options and hedge-fund 13F holdings, decoded in plain English.

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Earnings Analysis — key stats

Next earnings dateOct 21, 2026
Latest reported quarterQ2 FY2026
Earnings verdictMixed
EPS beat rate7 of last 8 (quarters above estimate)
Avg next-day move±4.6% (over the last 8 reports)
Post-earnings directionUp 4 / Down 4 (of the last 8 reports)
Implied move (next report)±18.3% (options-derived · into Oct 21, 2026)
Institutional ownership93.7% (13F as of 2026-06-30)
Top 10 holders45.7% (of shares outstanding)
Insider activity4 buys / 8 sells (recent Form 4 filings)
Revenue$17.7B (vs $17.6B est · +0.3% surprise · +16.0% YoY)
EPS$1.99 (vs $1.88 est · +5.9% surprise · -18.0% YoY)
Share price$113.57 (+0.3%)
Market cap$36.9B

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Earnings Analysis — beat / miss history

QuarterRevenueEPSEPS surpriseNext-day moveVerdict
Q3 FY2026$17.7B vs $17.6B est$1.99 vs $1.88 est+5.9%-1.3%Mixed
Q2 FY2026$14.6B vs $14.4B est$1.19 vs $1.08 est+10.2%-7.3%Mixed
Q1 FY2026$15.4B vs $15.4B est$3.10 vs $2.93 est+5.8%-2.2%Mixed
Q4 FY2025$15.2B vs $15.3B est$2.78 vs $2.65 est+4.9%-4.8%Mixed
Q3 FY2025$15.2B vs $15.4B est$3.87 vs $3.81 est+1.6%+5.6%In line
Q2 FY2025$13.2B vs $13.2B est$0.91 vs $0.75 est+21.3%+2.0%Mixed
Q1 FY2025$14.7B vs $14.4B est$3.26 vs $2.89 est+12.8%+0.5%Beat
Q4 FY2024$14.8B vs $14.8B est$3.33 vs $3.17 est+5.0%+13.4%Mixed

Top institutional holders

Holder% outstandingSharesValueQoQ change
Blackrock, INC.6.9%22.4M$3.1B+7.4%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC6.4%21.0M$2.9B+0.1%
Fmr LLC6.0%19.5M$2.6B+14.4%
Primecap Management CO/Ca/5.0%16.5M$2.2B+4.5%
Sanders Capital, LLC4.6%15.0M$2.0B-1.2%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC4.3%14.2M$1.9B+0.7%
State Street Corp3.6%11.8M$1.6B+1.4%
Capital World Investors3.5%11.4M$1.5B+2.2%
Geode Capital Management, LLC2.9%9.5M$1.3B+2.5%
Jane Street Group, LLC2.5%8.0M$1.1B+159.0%

Recent insider transactions

InsiderRoleDateTypeSharesValue
SHAPIRO EDWARDdirector2026-08-19Sell50K—
Leskinen Michael D.officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer2026-08-03Sell10K$1.3M
Nocella Andrew Pofficer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer2026-08-04Sell3K$396900
Enqvist Torbjorn Jofficer: EVP & Chief Operations Officer2026-07-25Buy25K—
Enqvist Torbjorn Jofficer: EVP & Chief Operations Officer2026-07-25Sell10K$1.2M
Enqvist Torbjorn Jofficer: EVP & Chief Operations Officer2026-07-24Sell20K$2.4M
Nocella Andrew Pofficer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer2026-07-25Buy21K—
Nocella Andrew Pofficer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer2026-07-25Sell10K$1.1M

What you'll find

Frequently asked questions

When is United Airlines Holdings's next earnings date?
United Airlines Holdings's (UAL) next scheduled earnings date is Oct 21, 2026. Magnisto shows the confirmed date, the options-implied expected move and the revenue and EPS estimates Wall Street is modeling into the report.
Did United Airlines Holdings (UAL) beat or miss earnings?
In Q2 FY2026, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) posted mixed results — revenue of $17.7B versus the $17.6B estimate (+0.3% surprise) and EPS of $1.99 versus $1.88 expected (+5.9% surprise). Magnisto decodes every United Airlines Holdings (UAL) report into a clear Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed verdict and checks whether guidance was raised, held or cut.
How often does United Airlines Holdings beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) beat Wall Street EPS estimates 7 times, most recently a mixed result in Q3 FY2026. Magnisto tracks every United Airlines Holdings (UAL) quarter's revenue and EPS versus consensus and grades each one Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed at a unified ±2% threshold.
How much does United Airlines Holdings stock move after earnings?
Over its last 8 quarterly reports, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) moved an average of ±4.6% the day after earnings — ranging from -7.3% (Q2 FY2026) to +13.4% (Q4 FY2024). The stock rose after 4 of those 8 reports and fell after 4. Heading into its next report on Oct 21, 2026, options-implied volatility is pricing in a move of roughly ±18.3% (derived). Magnisto tracks the realized post-earnings move for every United Airlines Holdings (UAL) quarter alongside the beat/miss verdict — past moves don't predict the next one.
Who are the largest shareholders of United Airlines Holdings?
Institutions hold about 93.7% of United Airlines Holdings's (UAL) shares outstanding as of the 2026-06-30 13F quarter. Its largest institutional holders include Blackrock, INC. (6.9%), Vanguard Capital Management LLC (6.4%), Fmr LLC (6.0%). Magnisto lists United Airlines Holdings's (UAL) top 13F holders with each stake size and its quarter-over-quarter change.
Are insiders buying or selling United Airlines Holdings (UAL)?
In the most recent Form 4 filings Magnisto tracks, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) insiders recorded 4 purchases and 8 sales — net selling. Insider transactions are one signal among many and are often routine (option exercises or scheduled 10b5-1 sales), so Magnisto shows the raw feed for you to judge.
What is the forecast for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) stock?
Magnisto blends analyst price targets, quantitative research, technical trend and options-implied moves into a scenario range for United Airlines Holdings (UAL), anchored to the current $113.57 share price, so you can weigh the bull, base and bear cases for United Airlines Holdings side by side.
Is United Airlines Holdings (UAL) a buy right now?
Magnisto does not give buy or sell tips. It gives you the institutional-grade evidence — the verdict, valuation, risks, technicals and hedge-fund 13F flows — so you can decide whether United Airlines Holdings fits your own thesis and risk profile. This is research, not investment advice.

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Educational research, not investment advice. Figures are illustrative and may be delayed.