Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) Earnings Analysis

Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) reported results in line with expectations in Q2 FY2026 on revenue of $4.5B versus the $4.6B estimate (+2.3% YoY) and EPS of $0.81. The next Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) earnings date is Oct 22, 2026. Below is the full Tractor Supply Co. earnings breakdown — the risk-adjusted verdict, price forecast, technicals, options and hedge-fund 13F holdings, decoded in plain English.

Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) Earnings Analysis — key stats

Next earnings dateOct 22, 2026
Latest reported quarterQ2 FY2026
Earnings verdictIn line
EPS beat rate0 of last 8 (quarters above estimate)
Avg next-day move±5.3% (over the last 8 reports)
Post-earnings directionUp 2 / Down 6 (of the last 8 reports)
Implied move (next report)±14.6% (options-derived · into Oct 22, 2026)
Institutional ownership69.6% (13F as of 2026-06-30)
Top 10 holders51.7% (of shares outstanding)
Insider activity10 buys / 1 sells (recent Form 4 filings)
Revenue$4.5B (vs $4.6B est · -0.8% surprise · +2.3% YoY)
EPS$0.81 (vs $0.82 est · -1.0% surprise · -14.8% YoY)
Share price$35.83 (-0.9%)
Market cap$18.8B

Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) Earnings Analysis — beat / miss history

QuarterRevenueEPSEPS surpriseNext-day moveVerdict
Q3 FY2026$4.5B vs $4.6B est$0.81 vs $0.82 est-1.0%+5.7%In line
Q2 FY2026$3.6B vs $3.6B est$0.31 vs $0.34 est-9.2%-13.1%Mixed
Q1 FY2026$3.9B vs $4.0B est$0.43 vs $0.46 est-7.0%-7.7%Miss
Q4 FY2025$3.7B vs $3.7B est$0.49 vs $0.48 est+1.6%+2.6%In line
Q3 FY2025$4.4B vs $4.4B est$0.81 vs $0.80 est+1.0%-0.5%In line
Q2 FY2025$3.5B vs $3.5B est$0.34 vs $0.37 est-7.6%-1.6%Mixed
Q1 FY2025$3.8B vs $3.8B est$0.44 vs $2.28 est-80.7%-4.9%Mixed
Q4 FY2024$3.5B vs $3.5B est$0.45 vs $0.45 est+0.6%-6.6%In line

Top institutional holders

Holder% outstandingSharesValueQoQ change
Blackrock, INC.9.0%47.5M$1.5B+4.7%
Invesco Ltd.6.6%34.6M$1.1B+70.7%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC6.5%34.3M$1.1B-0.1%
Capital Research Global Investors5.7%30.0M$949.0M+182.3%
Undisclosed filer5.1%26.7M$844.3M-4.2%
Capital International Investors4.9%25.8M$816.5M+110.8%
Price T Rowe Associates INC /Md/4.5%23.5M$744.0M+8.0%
State Street Corp4.5%23.5M$742.9M+2.9%
Geode Capital Management, LLC3.0%15.6M$490.7M-4.9%
Jpmorgan Chase & CO2.0%10.7M$332.8M+22.0%

Recent insider transactions

InsiderRoleDateTypeSharesValue
Ledbetter Samuel Craigofficer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer2026-08-08Sell28$936
Ledbetter Samuel Craigofficer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer2026-08-05Buy9K$305168
Ledbetter Samuel Craigofficer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer2026-08-05Buy2K
DAHL AMY Eofficer: SVP General Counsel2026-08-05Buy14K
DAHL AMY Eofficer2026-08-05Other0
Ordus John Pofficer: EVP Chief Stores Officer2026-08-06Buy2K
Ordus John Pofficer: EVP Chief Stores Officer2026-08-06Buy6K$204603
Estep Jonathan Sofficer: EVP Chief Merchandise Officer2026-08-06Buy794

What you'll find

Frequently asked questions

When is Tractor Supply Co.'s next earnings date?
Tractor Supply Co.'s (TSCO) next scheduled earnings date is Oct 22, 2026. Magnisto shows the confirmed date, the options-implied expected move and the revenue and EPS estimates Wall Street is modeling into the report.
Did Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) beat or miss earnings?
In Q2 FY2026, Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) posted in-line results — revenue of $4.5B versus the $4.6B estimate (-0.8% surprise) and EPS of $0.81 versus $0.82 expected (-1.0% surprise). Magnisto decodes every Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) report into a clear Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed verdict and checks whether guidance was raised, held or cut.
How often does Tractor Supply Co. beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters, Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) beat Wall Street EPS estimates 0 times, most recently a in-line result in Q3 FY2026. Magnisto tracks every Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) quarter's revenue and EPS versus consensus and grades each one Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed at a unified ±2% threshold.
How much does Tractor Supply Co. stock move after earnings?
Over its last 8 quarterly reports, Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) moved an average of ±5.3% the day after earnings — ranging from -13.1% (Q2 FY2026) to +5.7% (Q3 FY2026). The stock rose after 2 of those 8 reports and fell after 6. Heading into its next report on Oct 22, 2026, options-implied volatility is pricing in a move of roughly ±14.6% (derived). Magnisto tracks the realized post-earnings move for every Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) quarter alongside the beat/miss verdict — past moves don't predict the next one.
Who are the largest shareholders of Tractor Supply Co.?
Institutions hold about 69.6% of Tractor Supply Co.'s (TSCO) shares outstanding as of the 2026-06-30 13F quarter. Its largest institutional holders include Blackrock, INC. (9.0%), Invesco Ltd. (6.6%), Vanguard Capital Management LLC (6.5%). Magnisto lists Tractor Supply Co.'s (TSCO) top 13F holders with each stake size and its quarter-over-quarter change.
Are insiders buying or selling Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO)?
In the most recent Form 4 filings Magnisto tracks, Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) insiders recorded 10 purchases and 1 sale — net buying. Insider transactions are one signal among many and are often routine (option exercises or scheduled 10b5-1 sales), so Magnisto shows the raw feed for you to judge.
What is the forecast for Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) stock?
Magnisto blends analyst price targets, quantitative research, technical trend and options-implied moves into a scenario range for Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO), anchored to the current $35.83 share price, so you can weigh the bull, base and bear cases for Tractor Supply Co. side by side.
Is Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO) a buy right now?
Magnisto does not give buy or sell tips. It gives you the institutional-grade evidence — the verdict, valuation, risks, technicals and hedge-fund 13F flows — so you can decide whether Tractor Supply Co. fits your own thesis and risk profile. This is research, not investment advice.

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Educational research, not investment advice. Figures are illustrative and may be delayed.