PayPal Holdings (PYPL) Earnings Analysis

PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat expectations in Q2 FY2026 on revenue of $8.7B versus the $8.5B estimate (+4.8% YoY) and EPS of $1.38. The next PayPal Holdings (PYPL) earnings date is Oct 27, 2026. Below is the full PayPal Holdings earnings breakdown — the risk-adjusted verdict, price forecast, technicals, options and hedge-fund 13F holdings, decoded in plain English.

PayPal Holdings (PYPL) Earnings Analysis — key stats

Next earnings dateOct 27, 2026
Latest reported quarterQ2 FY2026
Earnings verdictBeat
EPS beat rate7 of last 8 (quarters above estimate)
Avg next-day move±8.1% (over the last 8 reports)
Post-earnings directionUp 2 / Down 6 (of the last 8 reports)
Implied move (next report)±10.9% (options-derived · into Oct 27, 2026)
Institutional ownership79.2% (13F as of 2026-06-30)
Top 10 holders36.8% (of shares outstanding)
Insider activity3 buys / 9 sells (recent Form 4 filings)
Revenue$8.7B (vs $8.5B est · +2.5% surprise · +4.8% YoY)
EPS$1.38 (vs $1.28 est · +7.8% surprise · -3.1% YoY)
Share price$61.68 (+0.2%)
Market cap$52.8B

PayPal Holdings (PYPL) Earnings Analysis — beat / miss history

QuarterRevenueEPSEPS surpriseNext-day moveVerdict
Q3 FY2026$8.7B vs $8.5B est$1.38 vs $1.28 est+7.8%+4.1%Beat
Q2 FY2026$8.4B vs $8.0B est$1.34 vs $1.28 est+4.7%-8.2%Beat
Q1 FY2026$8.7B vs $8.8B est$1.23 vs $1.29 est-4.7%-21.6%Mixed
Q4 FY2025$8.4B vs $8.2B est$1.34 vs $1.20 est+11.7%-0.8%Beat
Q3 FY2025$8.3B vs $8.1B est$1.40 vs $1.30 est+7.7%-10.9%Beat
Q2 FY2025$7.8B vs $7.8B est$1.33 vs $1.16 est+14.7%+1.4%Mixed
Q1 FY2025$8.4B vs $8.3B est$1.19 vs $1.11 est+7.2%-11.5%Mixed
Q4 FY2024$7.8B vs $7.9B est$1.20 vs $1.07 est+12.1%-6.4%Mixed

Top institutional holders

Holder% outstandingSharesValueQoQ change
Blackrock, INC.8.2%75.0M$3.2B+1.7%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC5.9%53.6M$2.3B-4.2%
State Street Corp4.5%41.2M$1.8B-1.8%
Invesco Ltd.3.7%33.4M$1.4B+73.1%
Geode Capital Management, LLC3.2%29.4M$1.3B+12.3%
Comprehensive Financial Management LLC2.6%24.0M$1.0B-7.9%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.5%22.7M$978.3M-10.5%
Bank Of America Corp /De/2.5%22.6M$975.6M-11.8%
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2.3%20.6M$891.4M-12.5%
Citadel Advisors LLC1.5%13.4M$577.2M+25.6%

Recent insider transactions

InsiderRoleDateTypeSharesValue
Kereere Suzanofficer: President, Global Markets2026-08-18Sell3K$204599
Kereere Suzanofficer: President, Global Markets2026-08-18Sell800$49124
Kereere Suzanofficer: President, Global Markets2026-08-15Buy9K—
Kereere Suzanofficer: President, Global Markets2026-08-15Sell4K$267666
Kereere Suzanofficer: President, Global Markets2026-08-15Sell9K—
Natali Chrisofficer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer2026-07-29Sell1K$77680
Keller Frankofficer: Pres., Checkout Sol. & PayPal2026-07-29Sell732$42529
Webster Aaronofficer: EVP, Global Chief Risk Officer2026-07-15Buy3K—

What you'll find

Frequently asked questions

When is PayPal Holdings's next earnings date?
PayPal Holdings's (PYPL) next scheduled earnings date is Oct 27, 2026. Magnisto shows the confirmed date, the options-implied expected move and the revenue and EPS estimates Wall Street is modeling into the report.
Did PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat or miss earnings?
In Q2 FY2026, PayPal Holdings (PYPL) posted beat results — revenue of $8.7B versus the $8.5B estimate (+2.5% surprise) and EPS of $1.38 versus $1.28 expected (+7.8% surprise). Magnisto decodes every PayPal Holdings (PYPL) report into a clear Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed verdict and checks whether guidance was raised, held or cut.
How often does PayPal Holdings beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters, PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat Wall Street EPS estimates 7 times, most recently a beat result in Q3 FY2026. Magnisto tracks every PayPal Holdings (PYPL) quarter's revenue and EPS versus consensus and grades each one Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed at a unified ±2% threshold.
How much does PayPal Holdings stock move after earnings?
Over its last 8 quarterly reports, PayPal Holdings (PYPL) moved an average of ±8.1% the day after earnings — ranging from -21.6% (Q1 FY2026) to +4.1% (Q3 FY2026). The stock rose after 2 of those 8 reports and fell after 6. Heading into its next report on Oct 27, 2026, options-implied volatility is pricing in a move of roughly ±10.9% (derived). Magnisto tracks the realized post-earnings move for every PayPal Holdings (PYPL) quarter alongside the beat/miss verdict — past moves don't predict the next one.
Who are the largest shareholders of PayPal Holdings?
Institutions hold about 79.2% of PayPal Holdings's (PYPL) shares outstanding as of the 2026-06-30 13F quarter. Its largest institutional holders include Blackrock, INC. (8.2%), Vanguard Capital Management LLC (5.9%), State Street Corp (4.5%). Magnisto lists PayPal Holdings's (PYPL) top 13F holders with each stake size and its quarter-over-quarter change.
Are insiders buying or selling PayPal Holdings (PYPL)?
In the most recent Form 4 filings Magnisto tracks, PayPal Holdings (PYPL) insiders recorded 3 purchases and 9 sales — net selling. Insider transactions are one signal among many and are often routine (option exercises or scheduled 10b5-1 sales), so Magnisto shows the raw feed for you to judge.
What is the forecast for PayPal Holdings (PYPL) stock?
Magnisto blends analyst price targets, quantitative research, technical trend and options-implied moves into a scenario range for PayPal Holdings (PYPL), anchored to the current $61.68 share price, so you can weigh the bull, base and bear cases for PayPal Holdings side by side.
Is PayPal Holdings (PYPL) a buy right now?
Magnisto does not give buy or sell tips. It gives you the institutional-grade evidence — the verdict, valuation, risks, technicals and hedge-fund 13F flows — so you can decide whether PayPal Holdings fits your own thesis and risk profile. This is research, not investment advice.

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Educational research, not investment advice. Figures are illustrative and may be delayed.