Northrop Grumman (NOC) Earnings Analysis

Northrop Grumman (NOC) delivered mixed results in Q2 FY2026 on revenue of $10.9B versus the $10.8B estimate (+5.1% YoY) and EPS of $7.68. The next Northrop Grumman (NOC) earnings date is Oct 20, 2026. Below is the full Northrop Grumman earnings breakdown — the risk-adjusted verdict, price forecast, technicals, options and hedge-fund 13F holdings, decoded in plain English.

Northrop Grumman (NOC) Earnings Analysis — key stats

Next earnings dateOct 20, 2026
Latest reported quarterQ2 FY2026
Earnings verdictMixed
EPS beat rate5 of last 8 (quarters above estimate)
Avg next-day move±4.9% (over the last 8 reports)
Post-earnings directionUp 5 / Down 3 (of the last 8 reports)
Implied move (next report)±11.3% (options-derived · into Oct 20, 2026)
Institutional ownership159.7% (13F as of 2026-06-30)
Top 10 holders44.8% (of shares outstanding)
Insider activity2 buys / 10 sells (recent Form 4 filings)
Revenue$10.9B (vs $10.8B est · +0.7% surprise · +5.1% YoY)
EPS$7.68 (vs $6.82 est · +12.6% surprise · -5.8% YoY)
Share price$549.28 (-0.3%)
Market cap$78.0B

Northrop Grumman (NOC) Earnings Analysis — beat / miss history

QuarterRevenueEPSEPS surpriseNext-day moveVerdict
Q3 FY2026$10.9B vs $10.8B est$7.68 vs $6.82 est+12.6%+0.3%Mixed
Q2 FY2026$9.9B vs $9.8B est$6.14 vs $6.06 est+1.3%-10.3%In line
Q1 FY2026$11.7B vs $11.6B est$7.23 vs $6.98 est+3.6%+4.3%Mixed
Q4 FY2025$10.4B vs $10.7B est$7.67 vs $6.44 est+19.1%-0.9%Mixed
Q3 FY2025$10.4B vs $10.1B est$7.11 vs $6.92 est+2.7%+10.3%Beat
Q2 FY2025$9.5B vs $9.9B est$3.32 vs $6.24 est-46.8%-11.0%Miss
Q1 FY2025$10.7B vs $11.0B est$6.39 vs $6.35 est+0.6%+1.2%Mixed
Q4 FY2024$10.0B vs $10.2B est$7.00 vs $6.07 est+15.3%+0.6%Mixed

Top institutional holders

Holder% outstandingSharesValueQoQ change
State Street Corp9.3%13.2M$6.7B+1.3%
Blackrock, INC.8.3%11.8M$6.0B+8.3%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC6.3%9.0M$4.6B+0.5%
Capital International Investors4.1%5.9M$3.0B-17.5%
Capital World Investors3.6%5.1M$2.6B-26.5%
Wellington Management Group Llp3.5%4.9M$2.5B-0.8%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC2.5%3.6M$1.8B+2.6%
Morgan Stanley2.5%3.6M$1.8B-1.3%
Franklin Resources INC2.4%3.4M$1.7B+2.9%
Geode Capital Management, LLC2.3%3.3M$1.7B+1.5%

Recent insider transactions

InsiderRoleDateTypeSharesValue
Warden Kathy Jdirector, officer: Chair, CEO and President2026-08-19Buy36K—
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell8$4356
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell19$10366
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell11$6011
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell31$16970
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell10$5483
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell6$3297
WELSH MARK A IIIdirector2026-08-03Sell2$1101

What you'll find

Frequently asked questions

When is Northrop Grumman's next earnings date?
Northrop Grumman's (NOC) next scheduled earnings date is Oct 20, 2026. Magnisto shows the confirmed date, the options-implied expected move and the revenue and EPS estimates Wall Street is modeling into the report.
Did Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat or miss earnings?
In Q2 FY2026, Northrop Grumman (NOC) posted mixed results — revenue of $10.9B versus the $10.8B estimate (+0.7% surprise) and EPS of $7.68 versus $6.82 expected (+12.6% surprise). Magnisto decodes every Northrop Grumman (NOC) report into a clear Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed verdict and checks whether guidance was raised, held or cut.
How often does Northrop Grumman beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters, Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat Wall Street EPS estimates 5 times, most recently a mixed result in Q3 FY2026. Magnisto tracks every Northrop Grumman (NOC) quarter's revenue and EPS versus consensus and grades each one Beat, Miss, In-line or Mixed at a unified ±2% threshold.
How much does Northrop Grumman stock move after earnings?
Over its last 8 quarterly reports, Northrop Grumman (NOC) moved an average of ±4.9% the day after earnings — ranging from -11.0% (Q2 FY2025) to +10.3% (Q3 FY2025). The stock rose after 5 of those 8 reports and fell after 3. Heading into its next report on Oct 20, 2026, options-implied volatility is pricing in a move of roughly ±11.3% (derived). Magnisto tracks the realized post-earnings move for every Northrop Grumman (NOC) quarter alongside the beat/miss verdict — past moves don't predict the next one.
Who are the largest shareholders of Northrop Grumman?
Institutions hold about 159.7% of Northrop Grumman's (NOC) shares outstanding as of the 2026-06-30 13F quarter. Its largest institutional holders include State Street Corp (9.3%), Blackrock, INC. (8.3%), Vanguard Capital Management LLC (6.3%). Magnisto lists Northrop Grumman's (NOC) top 13F holders with each stake size and its quarter-over-quarter change.
Are insiders buying or selling Northrop Grumman (NOC)?
In the most recent Form 4 filings Magnisto tracks, Northrop Grumman (NOC) insiders recorded 2 purchases and 10 sales — net selling. Insider transactions are one signal among many and are often routine (option exercises or scheduled 10b5-1 sales), so Magnisto shows the raw feed for you to judge.
What is the forecast for Northrop Grumman (NOC) stock?
Magnisto blends analyst price targets, quantitative research, technical trend and options-implied moves into a scenario range for Northrop Grumman (NOC), anchored to the current $549.28 share price, so you can weigh the bull, base and bear cases for Northrop Grumman side by side.
Is Northrop Grumman (NOC) a buy right now?
Magnisto does not give buy or sell tips. It gives you the institutional-grade evidence — the verdict, valuation, risks, technicals and hedge-fund 13F flows — so you can decide whether Northrop Grumman fits your own thesis and risk profile. This is research, not investment advice.

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Educational research, not investment advice. Figures are illustrative and may be delayed.